Early detection
If the source is verified quickly, contacts are found, and travel communication is clear, the event can remain local.
R: Low-medium
Response: Strong contact tracing
Outcome: Limited spread
Scenario simulation
Not a real forecast; educational outbreak scenarios.
Simulation mode explains how early detection, delayed reporting, and multi-country travel can change risk interpretation. User-controlled parameters can be added later.
Scenarios
How should spread and response quality be read?
Delayed reporting
Unclear case counts and delayed contact tracing increase the radar score and the need for source verification.
R: متوسط
Response: Fragmented data
Outcome: Regional spread risk
Multi-country travel
For travel-linked events, passenger routes, contact chains, and authority coordination become critical before case counts.
R: Variable
Response: Port/airport coordination
Outcome: Multi-point monitoring